Black Friday: A Marathon, Not a Sprint

arnold

In recent years, Thanksgiving meant more than just eating delicious food while surrounded by family and discussing what everyone is thankful for. The holiday is also the start of special sales and deals at popular retail stores. Instead of waiting until the Friday after Thanksgiving to start the discounts, retailers have developed the notion to start the sale hours before the big day. Giving people another reason to be thankful.

However, this year there seemed to be a decline on Thanksgiving shopping, shocking right? According to an article from the Business Insider called Thanksgiving shopping was a ‘bust,’ it went into detail about how the start of Black Friday shopping, which begins on Thursday, was slow and lower than usual. They found this information from a Black Friday team that was part of SunTrust, who went to different retail stores throughout the day.

What should be the rational reason for the slow start of the popular shopping is that people prefer to stay home with family on their day off instead of rushing to a store filled with excited shoppers racing to get the best deals. Though this might be a slight factor, it definitely is not the main reason. Online shopping is growing more than ever. A lot of retail stores also provide the same deals online. Instead of leaving family, staying up late, and waiting in line with hundreds of other, they get to stay at home and buy their items with a click of a button, no line involved.

Online shopping - clipping path

The Business Insider article went into the characteristics as to why the usually busy shopping day was slower than normal. Stating that traffic in the New York area seemed below last year both on-and off-mall. Parking was easier for consumers and crowds were more tamed than usual. Another interesting factor is that many consumers were discussing how deals were not as compelling as years past. Also, many retails closed at mid-night, when usually they open around that time for the start of Black Friday.

The popular lines appeared to be for electronics, which the article explained those lines were also half of what they were last year. However, Kohl’s was one store that consistently had long lines and customers making multiple item purchases. This may be because Kohl’s did not have the same deals online.

According to the article, the retailers who had a successful day were American Eagle, Old Navy, and Abercrombie & Fitch. The stores who did not have crazy lines were Gap (which owns Old Navy), Zumiez, and New York & Company.

Needless to say, maybe people are coming to the realization that Black Friday should only be on that day. Or perhaps, online deals are a better choice.

Time Machine, Take Me Back to the 7th Century

 

People call it the French version of 9/11. Paris, just like terror-shrouded Sinai and Beirut, occupied the latest global headlines when the capital of romance turned into a living hell last Friday. Shootings and bombings swept the city in theater, stadium, restaurant, and street corners, leaving hundreds of civilians dead and wounded. If the Charlie Hebdo shooting was infuriating and revolting, there is something more agonizing and heartbreaking about the Paris Black Friday. It brutally mirrors the perplex and twisted nature of political, economic, and religious conflicts, both local and global, in our modern world.

 

Other than spreading extremist fundamentalism and terrorism around the globe, the ISIS is nothing like al-Qaeda, the mastermind that left a permanent scar on the soil of America. Apparently, ISIS has a much more ambitious and clear plan – it shows strong desire for land and it desperately wants it now. With its ultimate goal of establishing a powerful caliphate, the militant group even envisioned a tempting plan to reshuffle the order of world financial and monetary system. It sounds just like other absurd conspiracy theories on the market at the first sight, but how the ISIS theoretically articulated and defended its own vision of the new financial order explicitly reveals its devouring ambition of conquest.

 

In a lengthy propaganda video released in early September, the ISIS fiercely condemns the global dominant position of United States dollar, accusing the U.S. Federal Reserve of enslaving the world economy and the greenbacks of being “evil and unchecked.” Instead, the ISIS proposes a bold alternative: replacing paper money with its own legal tender money called gold dinar. Full of iPhone-commercial-style shots boasting of its modern and state-of-the-art mintage, the video purports to show the superiority of gold standard and challenges the status quo of U.S. dollar as the reserve currency used by many countries. The ISIS also claims that it’s now collecting its oil revenue only in gold, even though most of oil money is still paid in the U.S. dollar.

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(A screenshot of the ISIS propaganda video. Source: The Economist/YouTube)

Whether the gold currency remains legal is left to question, not to mention its practicality as commodity money. People has abandoned precious metals as money long time ago and implemented financial systems around paper money for centuries. In fact, the world hasn’t abandoned gold standard until the U.S. brought the convertibility of the U.S. dollar to gold to an end in 1971. In theory, pegging the dollar to gold can guarantee price stability and prevent inflation in the long run, however, the history has proven that’s not quite accurate.

 

While most economists nowadays agree that gold standard is a bad idea, recent political debates around the revival of gold standard merely reflects the dissatisfaction towards the Federal Reserve’s power of setting the interest rates and printing money. The gold standard can explicitly limit the size of the economy and the flexibility of government monetary policies. When the central bank needs an easy monetary policy, it will be restricted to do so because the money is linked to how much gold it has – any over issue of paper money can risk bank runs or even the collapse of the economy.

 

Looking back through the history, precious metal was replaced by paper money, and today paper money is gradually being replaced by checking accounts and credit cards. In his Night Journey, the Prophet Muhammad was awoken by an archangel, received revelations from the God, and envisaged a caliphate ruled by the Koran, but he has probably never imagined the evolution of monetary systems. Whether it’s the 7th century or the 21st century, there is no point of going back to the time when we link our economies to precious metal. If there’s any benefits in maintaining such system, it has simply become obsolete and impractical to fit in our modern world.