Are Newspaper Publishers on Track to End Up in the “Extinct” Exhibit?

The American newspaper industry has used advertisements as its main source of revenue ever since the very first colonial publication, the Boston News-Letter, printed a real estate ad in 1704. Though this “newspaper” was only a half-sheet, single-spaced weekly journal, it p aved a business model that would be used over the next three centuries. Then, nearly three hundred years later, the wheels came off the wagon. It no longer made economic sense to pair editorial content and advertising together in a printed product in the age of ad networks and digital distribution.  Paperboys found themselves unemployed and traditional reporting jobs dried up. The digital revolution’s effects are still playing out, but there seems to be a way for publishers to charge ahead—by focusing on differentiating content and by taking exclusive ownership of high-quality, specific data that is valuable to advertisers. Many papers have revised their business models to target younger, more internet-savvy audiences. After all, when an e-commerce pioneer like Jeff Bezos buys the Washington Post, it’s clear that journalism is merging into the virtual sphere. But the dust has not totally settled. The field may look like it is heading in certain direction now, but things are constantly changing. It’s important to remember that just a few decades ago, most people would have never guessed that physical newspapers would start to disappear.

 

Prior to the internet, publishers had the upper hand. They had limited space in their newspapers and advertisers were willing to pay for a section so that readers could see their product. Although not every reader fell under the demographic most likely to be interested in purchasing, advertisers could buy up as much space as possible and thus increase the likelihood of reaching people from that specific group. Technological advances, however, took out the element of scarcity—theoretically, anyone in the world could access the internet and read content that was once only accessible by purchasing a physical copy at a news stand. This made the price of a non-tailored advertisement close to none. Advertisers became much more interested in placing their ads on websites that attract their target demographic rather than buying as much ad space as possible and hoping that group sees it.

 

People who were only interested in reading one specific section did not have to buy the entire paper to access it—media was finally unbundled. It created the ability for businesses to choose to advertise in places where their target demographic frequents, making their strategy less reliant on volume and more reliant on consumer data and tailored audiences. If someone wants to read the latest updates in the fashion section, they do not need to buy the politics and sports section as well.

 

This kind of shift, however, has been seen before. Journalism is not the first industry to have been affected by the unbundling of media. When technology allowed people to purchase individual songs on handheld devices without buying the entire album first, the revenue landscape shifted. Suddenly, Apple and other streaming services had a slice of the revenue pie, and that pie was also shrinking. Overall recording revenue fell, and artists were getting the short end of the stick. Many songwriters, like Taylor Swift, fought back on social media. Taylor released a letter exposing Apple’s stingy licensing agreements. Artists who previously relied on selling music to make a profit are now more focused on merchandising and concert tickets.

 

Similarly, the internet has ushered in an urgent need for newspapers to adapt and find ways to make money. For the journalism industry, the unbundling of media was a good thing for everyone involved except for the publisher. It led to a major power shift—advertisers now want to do business with networking and search engine companies instead of newspapers. Facebook and Google have a virtual duopoly on the digital advertising market, which grew 21% to $88 billion in 2017. The two companies accounted for 90% of that growth, and reason is simple: access to information. More than one billion people—who have likes, dislikes, friends, and interests—are active on Facebook. Google has a similar advantage as it processes more than 70% of the world’s search requests. When you search something on Google, the company finds out where you are and tracks what you’re searching, compiles that information, and sells it to potential advertisers. Advertisers were no longer willing to pay newspapers high amounts because it makes much more sense for them to pay Facebook and Google.

 

 

Unfortunately, rapid technological changes have a tendency to force sink or swim results. Between 2008 and 2017, the total number of newsroom employees declined 23%.Though technology does create a demand for new jobs, so far, it has not been enough to offset the loss. The number of digital employees increased by 79%, but that only created around 6000 new jobs while there were 32,000 layoffs within the same time frame. It is important to note that these numbers could change within the coming years as the industry finds new ways to adapt.

 

One way the industry has started to adapt is by shifting away from using advertisements as its main source of its revenue. Big players like the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Chicago Tribune grew their digital subscriptions in 2016 by 46%, 23%, and 76%, respectively. While top performers have been able to keep their heads well above water, both digital and print circulation for the industry as a whole saw an 8% decline in that same year. Getting subscribers is not easy for a majority of newspapers with less of a cult following. People tend to trust far-reaching, big publications like the NYT, thus keeping the high-circulation outlets right at the top.

 

The other way to get subscribers is by targeting a specific readership. In a 2017 study by the American Press Institute, the top reason cited by subscribers who were willing to pay for news services was that the outlet offered unique content on topics they personally cared about.  Thus, if you do not have the clout of having the highest circulation in the country, differentiating your content could be the way to go.

Differentiating content does increase the likelihood of attracting a higher subscription rate, but it also has another crucial bonus—it appeals to advertisers. Sites like Buzzfeed and Refinery 29 have already employed a tactic known as “native advertising.” These sites target a specific audience and integrate advertising into their content, making the product placement relatively subtle and extremely valuable. Disney could pay for a pop-up ad that people click out of immediately, or they could instead pay Buzzfeed to create a quiz called “Eat Your Way Through Disney Parks And We’ll Guess How Old You Are.” Studies have shown that consumers find native advertising is more interesting, informative, and useful than traditional ads. Though Buzzfeed and Refinery 29 do not charge for subscriptions, the money they make in sponsored content keeps advertisers happy and their profit margins high.

 

 

Another way the newspaper industry is fighting back is by playing Facebook and Google’s game of controlling consumer data. Industry executives are well aware that advertisers are willing to pay high amounts for accurate and verified data about potential consumers who visit their sites. Several publications have started doing this by joining coalitions aligned with advertising technology providers, whose goal is to leverage audience data. One example is the Local Media Consortium, who says they are “focused on increasing member companies’ potential share of digital revenue and audience by pursuing new relationships with a variety of technology companies and service providers.” For newspapers, joining this kind of group instead of letting a third-party interfere can help put their profit margins back on track.

 

The dust of the industrial revolution has not fully settled, but there seems to be a path forward for news publishers. Though big names like the New York Times seem to be the ones most likely to forge ahead unscathed, smaller-scale publications still have a chance to succeed. Right now, newspaper companies may be discouraged and might blame technology for shrinking their profits. But this is just an example of technology doing what it does best: forcing progress. The internet has allowed billions of people to access news across the globe, connecting people to information like never before. The journalism industry just needs to catch up. And it will.

Millennials Make the Move to the Suburbs

It looks like millennials have abandoned their big-city dreams—more people aged 20-36 are living in the suburbs than in the city.

Millennials have the reputation of not being very responsible with their money—some say that they can’t afford to buy homes because they spend their paychecks on avocado toast. But living in the suburbs? Isn’t that the American dream?

Rent or own, 38% of millennials live in the suburbs compared to 37% that live in the city. Though this is only a difference of one percentage point, it marks a turning point for this generation. Moreover, for millennial homeowners, 41% decided to stick to the suburbs rather than anywhere else, compared to 36% in 2016.

For some, the suburbs represent settling down, starting a family, and overall stability. However, at face value, suburbs are an affordable living option for those who want an easy commute to the city for other reasons. If millennials really do value things like avocado toast, good Instagram posts, and trendy brunches, moving right outside of expensive big cities might just be the smart thing to do to keep up their habits.

One thing that could be holding millennials back from affording the city lifestyle they might crave is student debt.  83% of people 22-35 who have student debt and do not own homes claim the two are correlated.

Though millennials have been buying more homes lately, around 70% of those who have regret it. One reason is the hefty down payment—a survey found that a third of them dipped into their retirement savings. Other reasons include underestimating ongoing costs and buying a home even when timing wasn’t perfect.

Given the buyer’s remorse, it makes sense why millennials are gravitating to the suburbs. A report by Zillow shows that people can spend around 26.5% of their income to own property in a city, but only 20.2% to own a similar home in the suburbs.

The move to the suburbs could mean that millennials are changing their reputation. A 2016 survey by Ernst & Young LLP and Economic Innovation Group (EIG) showed that the age group was “deeply pessimistic.” Two years later, that picture has changed. They’re getting married sooner than they thought they would, they’re graduating college and entering the workforce with stable jobs, and they think the economy is doing well. Most millennials think that sticking with one company is the best way to advance in their careers instead of hopping from place to place.

Though there are countless theories about the reason behind it, this newfound attitude is likely the result of growing up. Millennials live and learn, too.

All is Fair in Love and War: How Trump and Xi are playing with fire… and soybeans (REWRITE)

On July 6th, 2018, Donald Trump challenged Chinese President Xi to an economic chess match. Trump, however, may have underestimated Xi when he decided to make the first move. Both sides have made considerable dents in each other’s key industries. Engaging in tit-for-tat trade disputes may seem like it will yield results, but in the long-term, it damages crucial relationships that could hurt America’s biggest industries. For the U.S, soybeans are what’s at stake.

 

The United States’ biggest export is food, beverage, and feed according to a U.S Commerce report in 2017. Soybeans make up the largest part of that industry, and 60% of them were exported to China last year. The Asian country typically buys around 7-10 million tons from the U.S annually. Last Friday, November 2nd, soybean prices even fell to around $448 a ton, which is the lowest it’s been in 6 years.

Though China is the U.S soybean producer’s biggest buyer, it may not be that way for long. The economic impact of tariffs on U.S. exports and a protectionist trade policy may damage the Chinese economy in the short term, but will eventually just push China to find alternative ways to avoid importing such high amounts of this product from America.

China does receive most of its soybeans from the United States, but it also gets them from Brazil. South America may be Xi’s best option if Trump doesn’t step down.

Though Brazil consistently runs out of soybeans at the end of each cycle, it could likely ramp up production efforts if need be. In the last 20 years, the country has increased its soybean production by 266%, whereas the United States’ production has only increased by 63%. However, production costs for Brazilian farmers may end up being too high to keep up with Chinese demand.

Another option would be for Chinese investors to buy and develop land to produce soybeans in a country with the same comparative advantage, even Brazil. Some experts say Brazil is not reaching its full potential, and has a lot of untapped land. Again, if this is a viable option in the long term, it could take away China’s need to rely on American soybean farmers.

President Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is also a key player in reducing reliance on U.S agriculture throughout this trade war. The Initiative is an effort to connect Asia, Africa, and Europe for mutually beneficial economic opportunities. China wants a “belt” of overland corridors and a “road” of shipping lanes between 71 countries. That means the BRI streamlines trade between half of the world’s population and a fourth of the global GDP.

The BRI brings an increased level of economic interaction to China, making it that much easier to locate untapped areas equipped to produce soybeans other than the United States.

If China resorts to any of these options, U.S soybean farmers are going to take a long-term hit. While America can refocus its efforts to shipping out the product to other countries, if China manages to get Brazil to ramp up production levels or invests in agricultural land in other countries, it would lower the need for U.S trade partners to exclusively import soybeans from America.

 

China is now taking short term measures to deal with Trump’s tariffs. The China Feed Industry Association proposed in September to ration out soybean feed to pigs. The Xi administration is also maintaining a positive attitude by looking to increase domestic soybean production.

“Unilateralism and trade protectionism are rising, forcing us to adopt a self-reliant approach. This is not a bad thing,” Xi said in September.

In a retaliatory statement, the Vice Agriculture Minister Han Jun warned that Trump is playing with fire.

“Many countries have the willingness and they totally have the capacity to take over the market share the U.S. is enjoying in China. If other countries become reliable suppliers for China, it will be very difficult for the U.S. to regain the market,” Han Jun told the Xinhua news agency in August.

Soybean producers in China are already benefiting from the conflict. Yang Guiyin, the sales manager of an agricultural company in the Heilongjiang Province, said that soybean profits are on the rise.

“Our farmers really hope that China will import less soybeans so that domestic soybean production and soybean-related businesses will flourish,” Guiyin told NBC News in July.

The Chinese Government is pushing its domestic agenda even further as it aims to add $1.6 million acres of land to its existing soybean production. It is also subsidizing $190 to $320 per acre instead of the previous $150.

 

Looking ahead, the future of U.S soybean farmers will be determined by conversation between Trump and Xi. The world leaders have planned to meet on several occasions, but due to rising tensions, have not been ready to negotiate quite yet. The White House decided recently to move forward with conversation. Trump and Xi are planning to discuss the escalating situation at the Group of 20 leaders’ summit in Buenos Aires at the end of November.

For the Trump administration, the pressure is on. President Xi purposely targeted the soybean industry because the farmers primarily reside in states that elected Trump to office. China is looking to hit his weak spots. If Trump’s support system loses faith, it could have detrimental effects for republicans come November’s elections.

Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Indiana are all major soybean producing states and all voted for Trump in 2016.

In any trade war, just like in real wars, people are hurt. Trump stands by his belief that the United States will beat China, but if Xi continues to match Trump’s level of tariffs, it could get very ugly. Americans have no choice but to wait and see if Trump is correct in tweeting that “we win big.”

 

 

 

 

Can cash buy the midterms?

Turns out, mo’ money does mean mo’ problems for many Democratic candidates in the midterm elections– as long as those problems are part of a political agenda. This year, contributions to Democratic campaigns in the midterms have topped $1 billion, while contributions to Republican ones have only reached half of that amount. This high influx of cash has possibly contributed to the Democrats taking the House majority for the first time since 2010, which the New York Times predicts will be at a margin of almost 10%. That would be the highest margin the U.S has seen in years.

Democrats are even getting record funding in deep red districts. Kentucky’s 6th district is notoriously pro-Trump, but this year, things have been shaken up. Retired marine fighter pilot and Democratic candidate Amy McGrath received three times more funding than her opponent Andy Barr. Although incumbent Barr still took the win, McGrath walked away with 47.8% of the vote. To put that in context, Barr’s opponent in 2014 only received 40%.

 

Donations have also crossed state lines. In the Texas senatorial race, Ted Cruz received $24 million from voters, while his opponent and Democrat Beto O’Rourke received $70 million. The Center for Public Integrity reported that a chunk of O’Rourke’s donations came from notoriously blue states like California and New York. Cruz still beat O’Rourke this year with 50.9% of the vote, but in 2012, he won with 6% more breathing room.

 

However, my home state of Illinois may best exemplify the effect of campaign donations on election results. Growing up in Chicago, I knew exactly who the Pritzker family was– they have donated countless buildings, parks, and pavilions to the city. They also own the Hyatt hotels. Now, J.B Pritzker is the next governor. While his opponent Bruce Rauner is worth a measly few hundred million dollars, J.B Pritzker is worth well over $3 billion. Moreover, Pritzker’s campaign spent over $170 million dollars, while Rauner spent around $70 million. To put these numbers in perspective, University of Illinois in Chicago Professor Dick Simpson estimates that a gubernatorial campaign might cost $20 million.

So why have so many people been donating to democratic campaigns this year? Some analysts say the reason is Trump. Donald Trump is nothing short of a polarizing figure, and in an effort to take back political power, Democrats are making sure to donate. In 2018, 64% of American political contributions flowed to democratic candidates; In 2014, that number was 48%.

With Democrats pushing such a strong monetary effort this election year, it begs the question: Will donations be just as high in the 2020 presidential election? If Trump is the driving force that motivates people to dip into their pockets, the blue wave may take over.

All is Fair in Love and War: How Trump and Xi are playing with fire… and soybeans

On July 6th, 2018, the United States declared war on China. This war, however, is not being fought with bombs and guns or by millions of soldiers, but is being fought with tariffs. Trump and Chinese President Xi are engaged in a full-on trade war, and neither side is showing signs of concession.

Trump has never been a big fan of the way Americans have traded with the Chinese. He says that China is profiting too much from U.S farmers without returning the favor.

At the root of Trump’s decision back in early July to tax $34 billion worth of Chinese imports lies his belief that too much manufacturing abroad is hurting domestic industrial efforts. This protectionist philosophy is highly debated by economists and is complicated as it results in both negative and positive effects throughout the economy.

Trump’s policies are not popular with other countries that rely on a stable U.S trade relationship to meet their importing schedule. Engaging in tit-for-tat trade disputes may seem like it will yield results, but in the long-term, it damages crucial relationships that could hurt America’s biggest industries. One big American industry may take a permanent hit—soybeans.

The United States’ biggest export is food, beverage, and feed according to a U.S Commerce report in 2017. Soybeans make up the largest part of that industry, and 60% of them were exported to China last year.

As demonstrated by a case study of the soybean market, the economic impact of tariffs on U.S. exports and a protectionist trade policy may damage the Chinese economy in the short term, but will eventually just push China to find alternative ways to avoid importing such high amounts of this product from America.

China does receive most of its soybeans from the United States, but it also gets them from Brazil. South America may be Xi’s best option if Trump doesn’t step down.

Though Brazil consistently runs out of soybeans at the end of each cycle, it could likely ramp up production efforts if need be. In the last 20 years, the country has increased its soybean production by 266%, whereas the United States’ production has only increased by 63%. However, production costs for Brazilian farmers may end up being too high to keep up with Chinese demand.

Another option for China is for investors to buy and develop land to produce soybeans in Brazil or another country, which would take a few years to fully implement. Then again, if this is a viable option in the long term, it could take away China’s need to rely on American soybean farmers.

President Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is also a key player in reducing reliance on U.S agriculture throughout this trade war. The Initiative is an effort to connect Asia, Africa, and Europe for mutually beneficial economic opportunities. China wants a “belt” of overland corridors and a “road” of shipping lanes between 71 countries. That means the BRI streamlines trade between half of the world’s population and a fourth of the global GDP.

The BRI brings an increased level of economic interaction to China, making it that much easier to locate untapped areas equipped to produce soybeans other than the United States.

If China resorts to any of these options, U.S soybean farmers are going to take a long-term hit. While America can refocus its efforts to shipping out the product to other countries, if China manages to get Brazil to ramp up production levels or invests in agricultural land in other countries, it would lower the need for U.S trade partners to exclusively import soybeans from America.

China is now taking short term measures to deal with Trump’s tariffs. The China Feed Industry Association proposed in September to ration out soybean feed to pigs.

Furthermore, the Xi administration is maintaining a positive attitude by looking to increase domestic soybean production.

“Unilateralism and trade protectionism are rising, forcing us to adopt a self-reliant approach. This is not a bad thing,” Xi said in September.

The Vice Agriculture Minister Han Jun also warned that Trump is playing with fire.

“Many countries have the willingness and they totally have the capacity to take over the market share the U.S. is enjoying in China. If other countries become reliable suppliers for China, it will be very difficult for the U.S. to regain the market,” Han Jun told the Xinhua news agency in August.

Soybean producers in China are already benefiting from the conflict. Yang Guiyin, the sales manager of an agricultural company in the Heilongjiang Province, said that soybean profits are on the rise.

“Our farmers really hope that China will import less soybeans so that domestic soybean production and soybean-related businesses will flourish,” Guiyin told NBC News in July.

The Chinese Government is pushing its domestic agenda even further as it aims to add $1.6 million acres of land to its existing soybean production. It is also subsidizing $190 to $320 per acre instead of the previous $150.

On the other side of the war, the U.S is not taking a visibly huge hit just yet. Soybean producers have been able to maximize productivity this last quarter by exporting to other countries other than China. The profit margins on the products are still diminishing, however.

 

 

 

Some experts believe this will not last.

“I view this as being a surge that will not persist, but it’s huge,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, told the Wall Street Journal in July. “If you’re doing lots [of exports] in absolute terms at a time when normally you wouldn’t be doing very many, then the seasonals will be very favorable.”

Looking ahead, the future of U.S soybean farmers will be determined by conversation between Trump and Xi. The world leaders have planned to meet on several occasions, but due to rising tensions, have not been ready to negotiate quite yet. The White House decided recently to move forward with conversation. Trump and Xi are planning to discuss the escalating situation at the Group of 20 leaders’ summit in Buenos Aires at the end of November.

For the Trump administration, the pressure is on. President Xi purposely targeted the soybean industry because the farmers primarily reside in states that elected Trump to office. China is looking to hit his weak spots. If Trump’s support system loses faith, it could have detrimental effects for republicans come November’s elections.

 

Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Indiana are all major soybean producing states and all voted for Trump in 2016.

In any trade war, just like in real wars, people are hurt. Trump stands by his belief that the United States will beat China, but if Xi continues to match Trump’s level of tariffs, it could get very ugly. Americans have no choice but to wait and see if Trump is correct in tweeting that “we win big.”

 

 

 

 

 

How the World’s Most Secluded Country Survives

There are not many countries that want to be associated with violent tyranny, the absence of freedom, and a disgusting lack human rights. This makes finding a trade partner very difficult for the North Korean government. It doesn’t look very good when you supply your main export, coal, through child labor and what is essentially slavery. On top of that, international organizations like the United Nations and NATO often require members to impose strict sanctions in response to the way North Korea treats its citizens. So how does a country that is so universally hated survive?

North Korea’s economy is still up and running for one reason: China. 83% of North Korea’s exports are to China. Though countries like India, Russia, Pakistan, and Burkina Faso are also trade partners, China’s relationship with North Korea is immense in comparison.

Though one may think that China simply wants to expand its economy and trade with whoever it can, there is another glaring reason for its support of the authoritarian regime. China is not only North Korea’s trading partner, but also its neighbor. If Kim Jong Un’s iron fist lost its grip, millions of refugees may seek shelter across the border, giving China big problems.

Information about the Chinese-North Korean relationship is pretty available, but there is another major country accused of trading behind the scenes: Russia. In Spring, eight U.S senators wrote a letter to Trump urging him to take immediate action against Putin. Lawmakers, along with many analysts, strongly believe that Russia is employing North Korean prisoners in Siberia, trading oil, and exporting supplies related to chemical weapons to Syria. If these allegations are even remotely true, then Russia would be outright defying several international organization agreements, such as U.N-wide sanctions.

Looking forward, North Korea may be thinking about expanding its economy beyond its current limits. Some experts believe that Kim Jong Un is looking for ways to improve trade. U.S President Donald Trump thinks so too.

Back in June, Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un met in Singapore for a historic summit. After the meeting, Trump said that Un had agreed to begin denuclearization, and that once that happens, trade with the notoriously isolated country might just be an option for the United States.

“They (North Korea) have great beaches. You see that whenever they’re exploding their cannons into the ocean. I said, ‘Boy look at that view. Wouldn’t that make a great condo?’” Trump told reporters after the summit.

If North Korea were to suddenly abandon its nuclear weapons and give its citizens basic rights, its economy could skyrocket. However, signs of that actually happening are still slim.

Consumer Confidence… or Lack Thereof

For many, August symbolizes beginnings. The hottest month brings a new school year and the long-awaited season of fall. One might think that these changes would encourage people to go shopping and buy new things, but this year, that is not the case. Consumer confidence hit an 11-month low in the United States. But what does that mean, exactly?

 

Consumer confidence is based on several factors. Each month, the American Conference Board surveys 5000 households to measure how optimistic or pessimistic consumers feel about the economy’s current and future performance. This is a leading economic indicator because if citizens believe that the economy is going to do well, they will want to purchase more, regardless of whether it’s smart to do so or not.

 

Earlier this month, the University of Michigan released that total sentiment fell to an 11-month low. The study revealed that the consumer confidence index (CCI) score fell from 97.9 in July to 95.3 in August, Reuters reports. This is how they got this number:

 

The CCI survey features a series of questions asking if the individual feels positive, negative, or neutral about the current and future economy. 40% of the questions concern the current economy, while 60% concern the future. Then, the Conference Board puts the responses into numbers by taking the amount of positive responses divided by the positive and negative responses combined. The scores are then averaged, and then compared to a benchmark value of 100.

 

This sounds complicated, but essentially it’s just an algorithm that quantifies consumer confidence.

 

The CCI is key because manufacturers use it to determine how much of their products they should produce. For example, if Apple sees that consumers are extremely confident this month, they might hire more factory workers to anticipate a boom in MacBook sales. This is a smart way for business to stay ahead of the supply and demand curve.

 

Economists, however, consider the CCI a lagging indicator, meaning it fluctuates after the economy changes, not before. In reality, though, if people think the economy is doing great and spend a lot of money, then in turn it will do great. Americans have the power to boost their economic futures by simply staying positive, but they tend to be pessimists. Current events seriously affect their outlook.

 

For example, the decline in CCI this month stemmed from the bottom third of the economy believing that this is a terrible time to buy large goods. This roots from an increased inflation rate over the past few months. Politics also play into sentiments, as the Trump administration’s protectionist trade policy has led Americans to believe that import duties will continue to rise.

 

Though consumer confidence is falling, one thing is for certain– it will rise again. The economy rises and falls every single day. Congress is constantly pushing new economic legislation. Changing weather conditions determine the price of goods. Trends lead people to buy certain things and not others. While it is scary to not know what the future holds, it can also be comforting.

 

SOURCES:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YtT0cO9038E

 

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/consumer-confidence