failed to foresee the result of Brexit<\/a>. The vast majority of polls and markets had \u201cremain\u201d with a solid lead. It was only when the polls shifted towards \u201cleave\u201d in early June 2016 did the market moved in the same direction. Still, never once did \u201cleave\u201d come close to taking the lead.<\/p>\nAnother explanation is that investors have learned in recent decades that geopolitical events tend to have only very short-term impacts on the markets. In comparison to political risks (e.g. the result of a presidential election), economic growth and corporate profits are far more important factors to consider for the investors. The reality is, no one can run enough analysis to properly assess and predict the situation with North Korea based on polls or past data. \u00a0Nevertheless, the market has made a decision that for now, they do not believe a serious incident will happen on the Korean peninsula. So let us all hope that the \u201cwisdom of crowds\u201d wins this time.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A rogue state testing hydrogen bomb sent a missile over the territory of a neighboring country. The American president promised \u201cfire and fury\u201d if threats continue. Sounds a lot like the plot of a Hollywood thriller, right? Tthe Market, however, doesn’t seem to think the world is heading for to conflict and chaos. International investors […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1141,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3172"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1141"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3172"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3172\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3180,"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3172\/revisions\/3180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/j469.ascjclass.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}